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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Salford City

Notts County
1 - 3
Salford City

McGoldrick (67')
Palmer (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Platt (45+1' og.), N'Mai (53'), Garbutt (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Gillingham
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 1-2 Salford City

Both teams are in desperate need of points as they aim to secure the chance at promotion to League One, meaning we expect this game to be an extremely hard-fought affair. While the Magpies have the home advantage, the Ammies are unbeaten in their last four and have won three of the last four meetings between these two sides, leading us to expect an away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
51.55% (0.823 0.82) 23.51% (-0.026 -0.03) 24.94% (-0.793 -0.79)
Both teams to score 56.56% (-0.726 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)44.42% (0.587 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (-0.568 -0.57)66.79% (0.571 0.57)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (0.087999999999994 0.09)17.27% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.4% (0.152 0.15)47.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (-0.95 -0.95)31.63% (0.951 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96% (-1.106 -1.11)68.04% (1.11 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.55%
    Salford City 24.94%
    Draw 23.51%
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.268 0.27)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.079 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.138 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 24.94%

How you voted: Notts County vs Salford City

Notts County
67.6%
Draw
11.8%
Salford City
20.6%
34
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Salford City
3-0
Notts County
McAleny (14'), Stockton (31', 54')
N'Mai (47')

Bedeau (86'), Jatta (90+2')
Mar 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Notts County
1-2
Salford City
Crowley (53')
McAleny (31', 87')
Mariappa (49'), Hendry (54'), McAleny (80')
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Salford City
0-2
Notts County

Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
Berkoe (90+3')
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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