

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
| 26.57% ( | 23.5% ( | 49.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( | 43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( | 65.4% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( | 29.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.37% ( | 65.63% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( | 17.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.28% ( | 47.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 3-0 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 26.57% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0-3 @ 4.6% ( 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 2-4 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bradford CityBradford | 41 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 73 |
| 2 | Port Vale | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 73 |
| 3 | Walsall | 41 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 49 | 23 | 72 |
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 40 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 68 |
| 6 | Notts County | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 68 |
| 7 | Grimsby Town | 41 | 20 | 5 | 16 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 65 |
| 8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 41 | 15 | 17 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 61 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 41 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 59 |
| 11 | Salford City | 40 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 58 |
| 12 | Bromley | 41 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 56 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 41 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 56 |
| 14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 41 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 54 |
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 53 |
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 52 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 41 | 13 | 8 | 20 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 47 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 41 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 46 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 41 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 45 |
| 21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 41 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 43 |
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 41 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 42 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 41 | 10 | 6 | 25 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 36 |
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 41 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 34 |
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