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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Notts County |
29.43% (![]() | 24.26% (![]() | 46.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.52% (![]() | 44.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.15% (![]() | 66.85% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% (![]() | 28.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% (![]() | 64.02% (![]() |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% (![]() | 19.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.88% (![]() | 51.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 7.17% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.43% | 1-1 @ 11.35% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 9.33% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.99% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 46.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 69 | 48 | 21 | 78 |
2 | Port Vale | 44 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 77 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 75 |
4 | Walsall | 44 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 74 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 70 |
6 | Notts County | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 69 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 67 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 66 |
9 | Salford City | 44 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 65 |
10 | Chesterfield | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 64 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 62 |
12 | Bromley | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 58 | 56 | 2 | 62 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 70 | 62 | 8 | 60 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 57 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 57 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 57 |
17 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 54 |
18 | MK Dons | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 50 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 50 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 49 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 47 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 45 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 41 |
24 | Morecambe | 44 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |