MX23RW : Saturday, May 17 05:51:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Newport County

Accrington
5 - 0
Newport

O'Brien-Whitmarsh (4', 53'), Mooney (15', 75'), Walton (26')
Rawson (23'), Ward (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kamwa (37'), Spellman (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Newport
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-0 Newport County

One of the worst home teams in League Two will host one of the worst away sides, so this is a really difficult game to predict; Accrington have home advantage, but we are expecting Newport County to be good enough for a point on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
51.7% (0.121 0.12) 26.08% (-0.032 -0.03) 22.21% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 45.78% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)57.15% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.98% (0.026 0.03)78.01% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (0.066000000000003 0.07)22.19% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39% (0.1 0.1)55.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.84% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)41.15% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.31% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)77.69% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 51.68%
    Newport County 22.22%
    Draw 26.07%
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.68%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 22.22%

How you voted: Accrington vs Newport

Accrington Stanley
28.6%
Draw
57.1%
Newport County
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Newport
3-1
Accrington
Quirk (12' og.), Baker-Richardson (52' pen.), Wildig (63')
Clarke (29'), McLoughlin (54')
Whalley (38')
Khumbeni (90+6')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Newport
1-3
Accrington
Morris (13')
Bondswell (45'), Bondswell (90+8'), Jameson (90+8')
Lewis (90+6')
Henderson (22'), Leigh (46'), Pritchard (67')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Accrington
3-0
Newport
Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Newport
2-1
Accrington
Amond (30'), Nouble (85')
White (66'), Demetriou (88')
Kee (90')
Brown (61')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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