Augsburg logo
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Dortmund logo
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Freiburg logo
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Heidenheim
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Hoffenheim logo
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Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
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Union Berlin logo
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VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Union Berlin logo

Augsburg
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Tietz (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ilic (68', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 4-0 Augsburg
Sunday, May 11 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 Heidenheim
Saturday, May 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
35.63% (-2.089 -2.09)25.46% (0.109 0.11)38.91% (1.983 1.98)
Both teams to score 56.03% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (-0.58 -0.58)47.84% (0.581 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (-0.537 -0.54)70.03% (0.539 0.54)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (-1.436 -1.44)26.04% (1.439 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91% (-1.974 -1.97)61.09% (1.977 1.98)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (0.80200000000001 0.8)24.24% (-0.8 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (1.123 1.12)58.59% (-1.121 -1.12)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 35.63%
    Union Berlin 38.91%
    Draw 25.45%
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.344 -0.34)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.269 -0.27)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 35.63%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.415 0.41)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.433 0.43)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.206 0.21)
0-3 @ 3% (0.269 0.27)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.105 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.117 0.12)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 38.91%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Union Berlin

Augsburg
45.2%
Draw
35.5%
Union Berlin
19.4%
31
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2025 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Union Berlin
0-2
Augsburg

Siebatcheu (60')
Claude-Maurice (9', 30')
Koudossou (20'), Onyeka (79')
Apr 12, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 29
Augsburg
2-0
Union Berlin
Tietz (47'), Michel (81')
Breithaupt (90+2')

Khedira (37')
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Union Berlin
1-1
Augsburg
Volland (88')
Gosens (37'), Haberer (45+5')
Demirovic (39' pen.)
Dahmen (87'), Mbabu (90+5')
May 6, 2023 2.30pm
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Union Berlin
2-2
Augsburg
Becker (7'), Behrens (22')
Niederlechner (9', 39')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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