Augsburg logo
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Stuttgart

Union Berlin
4 - 4
Stuttgart

Ilic (5', 45+6'), Leite (19'), Querfeld (38')
FT(HT: 4-4)
Undav (23'), Millot (29'), Chabot (43'), Fuhrich (45+1')
Chabot (18'), Hendriks (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
24.57% (-0.939 -0.94)23.35% (-0.087 -0.09)52.08% (1.032 1.03)
Both teams to score 56.69% (-0.7 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-0.469 -0.47)44.07% (0.474 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.459 -0.46)66.45% (0.465 0.47)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-1.01 -1.01)31.74% (1.017 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-1.178 -1.18)68.17% (1.185 1.19)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (0.20700000000001 0.21)16.94% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98% (0.363 0.36)47.02% (-0.356 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 24.57%
    Stuttgart 52.08%
    Draw 23.35%
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 24.57%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.11 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.55% (0.258 0.26)
0-2 @ 8.48% (0.284 0.28)
1-3 @ 5.76% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.56% (0.05 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.23% (0.103 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.91% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 52.08%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Stuttgart

Union Berlin
58.5%
Draw
24.4%
Stuttgart
17.1%
82
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Stuttgart
3-2
Union Berlin
Woltemade (51', 59'), Karazor (69')
Mittelstadt (34')
Doekhi (37'), Skov (48')
Ronnow (45+3'), Skarke (60'), Leite (90+5'), Svensson (90+4'), Doekhi (90+5'), Vertessen (90+5'), Khedira (90+5')
Mar 8, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Stuttgart
2-0
Union Berlin
Guirassy (19'), Fuhrich (65')
Vagnomann (83')

Khedira (39'), Tousart (77')
Schafer (69')
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Stuttgart
1-0
Union Berlin
Undav (45')
Stergiou (88'), Ito (90+1')

Tousart (85'), Fischer (86'), Gosens (90+1')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Union Berlin
0-3
Stuttgart

Haberer (34'), Behrens (49')
Guirassy (16'), Wamangituka (81'), Undav (88')
Rouault (34'), Hoeness (35')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
3-0
Stuttgart
Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!