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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 3
Holstein Kiel

Mounie (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Machino (25' pen.), Bernhardsson (40', 51')
Arp (85'), Remberg (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawHolstein Kiel
46.41% (-1.135 -1.14)24.32% (0.326 0.33)29.27% (0.816 0.82)
Both teams to score 57.51% (-0.546 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (-0.969 -0.97)44.85% (0.976 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (-0.941 -0.94)67.21% (0.947 0.95)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (-0.846 -0.85)19.45% (0.852 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.7% (-1.41 -1.41)51.3% (1.417 1.42)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.075000000000003 0.08)28.6% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (0.093999999999994 0.09)64.4% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 46.41%
    Holstein Kiel 29.27%
    Draw 24.32%
AugsburgDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
1-0 @ 9.11% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.231 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.136 0.14)
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.301 0.3)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.197 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.27%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel

Augsburg
60.7%
Draw
21.4%
Holstein Kiel
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Holstein Kiel
5-1
Augsburg
Rosenboom (12'), Harres (32', 35'), Machino (39', 90+1')
Rapp (31')
Claude-Maurice (5')
Wolf (29'), Giannoulis (68'), Vargas (83'), Mounie (86')
Feb 6, 2019 5.30pm
Round of 16
Holstein Kiel
0-1
Augsburg
Gregoritsch (85')
Gotze (38'), Dong-won (77'), Hahn (84')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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