MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:39:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Sesko (74' pen.)
Klostermann (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Machino (44')
Rosenboom (28'), Arp (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig
Friday, April 11 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-0 Holstein Kiel

Leipzig's ability to create chances could be impacted by the absence of Simons, who has been key to their attacking displays. However, it is difficult to see Holstein Kiel taking advantage given their poor form, and they could be punished during counter-attacks if they push forward to try and claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 3-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHolstein Kiel
65.75% (-1.026 -1.03) 18.26% (0.509 0.51) 15.99% (0.514 0.51)
Both teams to score 60.37% (-0.725 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.36% (-1.467 -1.47)32.63% (1.464 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.7% (-1.716 -1.72)54.3% (1.713 1.71)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.7% (-0.625 -0.63)9.3% (0.622 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.61% (-1.503 -1.5)31.39% (1.5 1.5)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)33.44% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-0.375 -0.38)70.07% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 65.75%
    Holstein Kiel 15.99%
    Draw 18.26%
RB LeipzigDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.366 0.37)
3-0 @ 6.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.52% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.12% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.164 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.18% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 65.75%
1-1 @ 8.09% (0.329 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.238 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.26%
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 3.41% (0.231 0.23)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.87% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 15.99%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel

RB Leipzig
92.3%
Draw
5.8%
Holstein Kiel
1.9%
52
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Holstein Kiel
0-2
RB Leipzig

Gigovic (36'), Weiner (67'), Schulz (68'), Bernhardsson (90')
Sesko (27'), Silva (69' pen.)
Openda (56'), Vermeeren (74'), Henrichs (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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