Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 19, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Sesko (74' pen.)
Klostermann (41')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Machino (44')
Rosenboom (28'), Arp (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig
Friday, April 11 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 3-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Holstein Kiel
65.75% ( -1.03)	18.26% ( 0.51)	15.99% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 60.37% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.36% (

-1.47)

32.63% (

1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.7% (

-1.72)

54.3% (

1.71)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.7% (

-0.63)

9.3% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.61% (

-1.5)

31.39% (

1.5)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.56% (

-0.34)

33.44% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.93% (

-0.38)

70.07% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 65.75%

Holstein Kiel 15.99%

Draw 18.26%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.37) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.96% Total : 65.75%	1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.26%	1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 15.99%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel

RB Leipzig

92.3%

Draw

5.8%

Holstein Kiel

1.9%

Head to Head

Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm

Gameweek 13

Holstein Kiel

0-2

RB Leipzig

Gigovic (36'), Weiner (67'), Schulz (68'), Bernhardsson (90')

Sesko (27'), Silva (69' pen.)
Openda (56'), Vermeeren (74'), Henrichs (83')

> Preview

Form Guide

Wolfsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim

Stuttgart 3-1 RB Leipzig

Borussia M'bach 1-0 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig 2-0 Dortmund

Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig

Holstein Kiel 1-2 St Pauli

Mainz 1-1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 0-3 Werder Bremen

Heidenheim 3-1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 2-2 Stuttgart

Union Berlin 0-1 Holstein Kiel

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table