League Two | Gameweek 19
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport1 - 0Carlisle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Newport
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Newport County 2-1 Carlisle United
All of the momentum seems to be with Newport ahead of this clash, and Jardim's side will be confident of securing another three points as their ambitions for the season grow. That being said, Carlisle will be desperate for points and may benefit from the new manager bounce, so the Exiles must be wary if they are to walk away with the win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Carlisle United |
33.84% ( 1.34) | 25.64% ( 0.28) | 40.53% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
