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Ligue 1

Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Montpellier

Nantes
3 - 0
Montpellier

Simon (18' pen.), Coquelin (31'), Abline (79')
Thomas (53'), Pallois (57'), Coquelin (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Chennahi (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 1-4 PSG
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMontpellier HSC
50.63% (3.035 3.04)24.4% (-0.22 -0.22)24.97% (-2.811 -2.81)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-1.774 -1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (-1.175 -1.18)48.26% (1.18 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (-1.086 -1.09)70.41% (1.089 1.09)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (0.776 0.78)19.08% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.32% (1.267 1.27)50.68% (-1.263 -1.26)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (-2.853 -2.85)33.67% (2.857 2.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (-3.233 -3.23)70.33% (3.237 3.24)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 50.63%
    Montpellier HSC 24.97%
    Draw 24.4%
NantesDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.75 0.75)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.183 0.18)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.819 0.82)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.225 0.23)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.557 0.56)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.144 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.273 0.27)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 50.63%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.307 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.208 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.548 -0.55)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.432 -0.43)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.402 -0.4)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.282 -0.28)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 24.97%

How you voted: Nantes vs Montpellier

Nantes
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Montpellier HSC
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 3
Montpellier
1-3
Nantes
Adams (30')
Nzingoula (85'), Ferri (90+3')
Abline (24'), Simon (45+7' pen.), Mohamed (85')
Coco (81'), Lafont (85')
> Preview
Apr 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 31
Montpellier
1-1
Nantes
Adams (2')
Savanier (24'), Tchato (45')
Mincarelli (90+1'), Nordin (90+5')
Abline (7')
Sissoko (45+5')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
Mollet (44'), Bamba (74')
Mollet (65'), Bamba (75')

Kouyate (90+2')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 36
Nantes
0-3
Montpellier

Merlin (20'), Moutoussamy (49'), Mollet (58'), Blas (77')
Ferri (38'), Nordin (47'), Sacko (88')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Montpellier
0-3
Nantes
Girotto (45+13'), Mohamed (81'), Blas (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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