MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:16:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Nantes

Nice
1 - 2
Nantes

Abdi (14')
Bombito (28')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Douglas (11'), Abline (38')
Sow (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Nice
Saturday, March 29 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 2-1 Nantes

Nice's form has tailed off at the worst possible time, with just one point taken from a possible nine during March, but this fixture does provide them with an excellent opportunity to move level on points with second-placed Monaco. Away form has been a big problem of late for Nantes, as they have lost three in a row, conceding 12 in the process, and even though they have won on two of their last three visits here, it is tough to see them repeating the feat again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawNantes
59.74% (0.327 0.33) 21.74% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 18.52% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 53.24% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.56% (-0.806 -0.81)44.44% (0.806 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.19% (-0.785 -0.79)66.81% (0.786 0.79)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)14.48% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.54% (-0.318 -0.32)42.46% (0.318 0.32)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-0.885 -0.88)37.75% (0.88500000000001 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (-0.872 -0.87)74.52% (0.871 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Nice 59.74%
    Nantes 18.52%
    Draw 21.74%
NiceDrawNantes
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.231 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.57% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 59.74%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.189 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 18.52%

How you voted: Nice vs Nantes

Nice
81.3%
Draw
15.0%
Nantes
3.8%
80
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 8
Nantes
1-1
Nice
Abline (67')
Zeze (33'), Chirivella (38')
Guessand (72')
Clauss (89')
Mar 31, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 27
Nice
1-2
Nantes
Moffi (72' pen.)
Lotomba (58'), Laborde (90+8')
Abline (19'), Mohamed (77' pen.)
Cozza (51'), Comert (52'), Chirivella (58'), Abline (78'), Coco (90+1')
Dec 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Nantes
1-0
Nice
Mollet (25')
Castelletto (18'), Duverne (61'), Chirivella (89')
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Nantes
2-2
Nice
Sissoko (31'), Mohamed (88')
Moffi (5'), Ndayishimiye (71')
Oct 23, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 12
Nice
1-1
Nantes
Pepe (90+6' pen.)
Ganago (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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