Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
| 51.84% ( | 23.01% ( | 25.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.02% ( | 41.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.61% ( | 64.38% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% | 16.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.19% | 45.8% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( | 30.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.7% ( | 66.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.84% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 25.15% |