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Champions League

Monaco
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 21, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Aston Villa logo

Monaco
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Singo (8')
Golovin (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Digne (49'), Rogers (82'), Kamara (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Monaco hold firm to secure a brilliant 1-0 victory on Tuesday night, moving the Monegasques level on 13 points with Aston Villa in the Champions League league phase.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Monaco and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Monaco and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Aston Villa could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with Monaco.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Montpellier 2-1 Monaco
Friday, January 17 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Aston Villa

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawAston Villa
48.85% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)22.96% (0.0019999999999989 0)28.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)39.26% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)61.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.93% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.5% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)61.69% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 48.85%
    Aston Villa 28.19%
    Draw 22.96%
MonacoDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.58%
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.71%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: Monaco vs Aston Villa

Monaco
18.3%
Draw
18.6%
Aston Villa
63.1%
312