Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 56.98% ( | 21.95% ( | 21.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( | 41.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( | 64.09% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% ( | 14.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.62% ( | 42.37% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( | 33.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.83% ( | 70.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 5-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3% Total : 56.98% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 21.07% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
