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Monaco
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Montpellier
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Nantes
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Nice
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Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Montpellier

Nice
2 - 0
Montpellier

Clauss (30'), Boudaoui (65')
Ndayishimiye (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fayad (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 16 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-4 Lyon
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawMontpellier HSC
56.98% (-1.232 -1.23)21.95% (0.258 0.26)21.07% (0.972 0.97)
Both teams to score 56.87% (0.676 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31% (0.164 0.16)41.69% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.91% (0.164 0.16)64.09% (-0.164 -0.16)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (-0.334 -0.33)14.44% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.62% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)42.37% (0.649 0.65)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47% (1.046 1.05)33.53% (-1.046 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83% (1.125 1.13)70.17% (-1.126 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Nice 56.98%
    Montpellier HSC 21.07%
    Draw 21.94%
NiceDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3%
Total : 56.98%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.137 0.14)
0-0 @ 4.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.207 0.21)
0-1 @ 5.29% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.13 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 21.07%

How you voted: Nice vs Montpellier

Nice
84.0%
Draw
12.0%
Montpellier HSC
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 15
Montpellier
2-2
Nice
Chotard (22'), Sainte-Luce (80')
Nzingoula (90+4')
Laborde (17'), Bouanani (28')
Bouanani (34'), Clauss (53')
Mar 8, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 25
Nice
1-2
Montpellier
Boga (12')
Rosario (42')
Todibo (10' og.), Savanier (42' pen.)
Khazri (47'), Leroy (90+2')
Feb 7, 2024 7.30pm
Round of 16
Montpellier
1-4
Nice
Sagnan (75')
Savanier (34'), Lecomte (61')
Ndayishimiye (29'), Louchet (37'), Cho (39'), Claude-Maurice (62' pen.)
Claude-Maurice (34'), Rosario (46'), Balde (71')
Nov 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
0-0
Nice
Rosario (5'), Boudaoui (45+1'), Todibo (71'), Bard (82')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
2-3
Nice
Savanier (7', 17' pen.)
Barkley (53'), Laborde (67', 79')
Boudaoui (63'), Rosario (88'), Dante (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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