Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Feb 2, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
1 - 1
Nice

McKenzie (85')
Zajc (76'), Aboukhlal (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Laborde (18' pen.)
Boudaoui (63'), Ndayishimiye (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier
Sunday, January 26 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 1-1 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Nice
41.07% ( -0.16)	26.29% ( -0.05)	32.63% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 52.6% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.03% (

0.27)

51.96% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29% (

0.23)

73.71% (

-0.23)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

0.03)

24.97% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

0.05)

59.61% (

-0.05)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

0.28)

29.9% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.01% (

0.33)

65.99% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 41.07%

Nice 32.63%

Draw 26.29%

Toulouse	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.07%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.63%