Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Nice

Toulouse
1 - 1
Nice

McKenzie (85')
Zajc (76'), Aboukhlal (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Laborde (18' pen.)
Boudaoui (63'), Ndayishimiye (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier
Sunday, January 26 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawNice
41.07% (-0.163 -0.16)26.29% (-0.052 -0.05)32.63% (0.214 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.6% (0.231 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (0.266 0.27)51.96% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (0.23 0.23)73.71% (-0.23 -0.23)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.034999999999997 0.03)24.97% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.046999999999997 0.05)59.61% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (0.27500000000001 0.28)29.9% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.01% (0.331 0.33)65.99% (-0.331 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 41.07%
    Nice 32.63%
    Draw 26.29%
ToulouseDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Nice

Toulouse
27.8%
Draw
35.2%
Nice
37.0%
54
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 2
Nice
1-1
Toulouse
Clauss (53')
Bard (45+1'), Rosario (50'), Donnum (61')
Babicka (73')
Dante (56'), Mendy (82')
Mar 3, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 24
Toulouse
2-1
Nice
Dallinga (65'), Gboho (69')
Costa (45+2'), Spierings (90+2')
Moffi (8')
Thuram (2'), Moffi (50')
Nov 26, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 13
Nice
1-0
Toulouse
Moffi (54')

Casseres Jr (33'), Bangre (81'), Desler (83'), Gelabert (90+4')
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 36
Nice
0-0
Toulouse
Beka Beka (32'), Moffi (72')
Nicolaisen (23'), Spierings (90+3')
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 1
Toulouse
1-1
Nice
Dallinga (20')
Keben (86')
Ramsey (78')
Rosario (63'), Dante (65')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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