We said: Nice 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Nice are set to name a heavily-rotated XI with elimination already confirmed, and that could open the door for Bodo/Glimt to earn a hugely important, and rare, away win in Europe, that would take them into the last 16.
These two sides have committed the fewest fouls of all 36 clubs in the Europa League, and that could be evident again, with nothing on the line for the home side, who also fell to a disappointing defeat last midweek.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.46%) and 1-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.