Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
Besiktas

Bodo/Glimt
2 - 1
Besiktas

Zinckernagel (37'), Bjortuft (43')
Evjen (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fernandes (21')
Ndour (37'), Ucan (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, December 1 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Besiktas 1-0 Fenerbahce
Saturday, December 7 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawBesiktas
59.17% (0.115 0.12)20.59% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)20.25% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.37% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)36.48% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.38% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)58.62% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)12.1% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.65% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.143 -0.14)31.32% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.169 -0.17)67.68% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 59.17%
    Besiktas 20.25%
    Draw 20.59%
Bodo/GlimtDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 8% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.95% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.65% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 3.14% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 59.17%
1-1 @ 9.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Besiktas

Bodo/Glimt
50.7%
Draw
20.5%
Besiktas
28.8%
73
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Besiktas
1-2
Bodo/Glimt
Bingol (64')
Uysal (47'), Rebic (75'), Bingol (80')
Uysal (90+3')
Moumbagna (38', 49')
Zugelj (90+2')
Oct 26, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Bodo/Glimt
3-1
Besiktas
Gronbaek (28'), Moumbagna (58'), Saltnes (87')
Berg (55')
Moe (90+1' og.)
Ghezzal (67'), Muleka (89')