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Europa League

Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
M. Tel Aviv

Hogh (39', 65' pen.), Evjen (62')
Andre Bjorkan (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Peretz (12')
Davida (39'), Stojic (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Maccabi Tel Aviv, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-1 Besiktas
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 4-1 M. Netanya
Saturday, January 18 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
63.38% (-0.418 -0.42)18.77% (0.115 0.12)17.86% (0.307 0.31)
Both teams to score 62.74% (0.223 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.47% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.05%52.95% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.47% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)9.53% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.07% (-0.229 -0.23)31.93% (0.232 0.23)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (0.321 0.32)30.66% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.375 0.38)66.9% (-0.371 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 63.38%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 17.86%
    Draw 18.77%
Bodo/GlimtDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.33% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.42% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.6%
5-1 @ 2.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.75% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 63.38%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.049 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.92%
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.77%
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.063 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.45% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 17.86%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs M. Tel Aviv

Bodo/Glimt
79.1%
Draw
7.8%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
13.0%
115