Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
Boras Arena
Nice

Elfsborg
1 - 0
Nice

Henriksson (62')
Yegbe (13'), Hedlund (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Louchet (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Elfsborg and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elfsborg 1-0 Qarabag
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nice
Friday, January 17 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
ElfsborgDrawNice
31.8% (0.116 0.12)24.59% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)43.61% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.97% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14% (0.10400000000001 0.1)44.87% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78% (0.1 0.1)67.22% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (0.128 0.13)26.93% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (0.162 0.16)62.26% (-0.154 -0.15)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.67% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75%53.26% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 31.8%
    Nice 43.61%
    Draw 24.59%
ElfsborgDrawNice
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 31.8%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.61%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Nice

Elfsborg
33.3%
Draw
20.6%
Nice
46.0%
63