Potential new EL header

Europa League

Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
Boras Arena
Nice

Elfsborg
1 - 0
Nice

Henriksson (62')
Yegbe (13'), Hedlund (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Louchet (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Elfsborg and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-0 Qarabag
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League

Nice

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nice
Friday, January 17 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
ElfsborgDrawNice
31.8% (0.116 0.12)24.59% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)43.61% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.97% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14% (0.10400000000001 0.1)44.87% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78% (0.1 0.1)67.22% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (0.128 0.13)26.93% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (0.162 0.16)62.26% (-0.154 -0.15)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.67% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75%53.26% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 31.8%
    Nice 43.61%
    Draw 24.59%
ElfsborgDrawNice
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 31.8%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.61%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Nice

Elfsborg
33.3%
Draw
20.6%
Nice
46.0%
63
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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