Despite an inconsistent season, Lens have been strong on the road, winning four, drawing four and losing just one, with their solid defence playing a key role.
Montpellier, however, will be hopeful of securing all three points given their recent form, though their struggles against the visitors could resurface, making victory for the away side the most probable outcome in what should be a tight contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.14) 
