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Ligue 1

Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Lens logo

Le Havre
1 - 2
Lens

Ayew (8')
Ayew (34'), Youte Kinkoue (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koyalipou (28'), Machado (77')
Thomasson (13'), Koffi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 5-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.41%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawLens
12.55% (0.058 0.06)20.55% (0.023999999999997 0.02)66.9% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 43.23% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)50.57% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02)72.49% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.4% (0.115 0.12)49.59% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62% (0.081 0.08)84.37% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)14.23% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.01% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)41.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 12.55%
    Lens 66.89%
    Draw 20.55%
Le HavreDrawLens
1-0 @ 4.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.39% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.74% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 12.55%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.3% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 20.55%
0-1 @ 13.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 13.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.72% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 4.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 66.89%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Lens

Le Havre
14.3%
Draw
20.0%
Lens
65.7%
35
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 28
Lens
1-1
Le Havre
Frankowski (58')
Gradit (62'), Aguilar (72')
Sabbi (78' pen.)
Ayew (51'), Operi (63'), Kechta (69'), Bayo (90+5'), Toure (90+2'), Bayo (90+6')
> Preview
Oct 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Sabbi (29'), Sangante (65')
Diouf (12'), Danso (20'), Frankowski (34')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Fortes (29')
Aug 17, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lens
1-3
Le Havre
Gillet (46')
Teka (24'), Gillet (43'), Fortes (45'), Perez (75')
Kadewere (67', 79'), Bese (84')
Dina (30'), Fontaine (60')
Apr 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Lens
0-0
Le Havre
Teka (69'), Doucoure (74')
Bain (34'), Youga (58'), Fontaine (66')
Youga (71')