Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 25.61% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win is 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.54%).
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC | 
| 51.51% (  -2.09) | 22.88% (  -0.23) | 25.61% (  2.32) | 
| Both teams to score 59.43% (  3.43) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.04% (  3.34) | 40.96% (  -3.33) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.65% (  3.32) | 63.35% (  -3.32) | 
| Lens Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.99% (  0.47) | 16.01% (  -0.47) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.66% (  0.85) | 45.34% (  -0.85) | 
| Montpellier HSC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.75% (  3.71) | 29.25% (  -3.71) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.8% (  4.34) | 65.21% (  -4.34) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC | 
| 2-1 @ 9.66% (  -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.58% (  -1.21) 2-0 @ 7.86% (  -0.97) 3-1 @ 5.9% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 4.8% (  -0.51) 3-2 @ 3.63% (  0.36) 4-1 @ 2.7% (  0.05) 4-0 @ 2.2% (  -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.66% (  0.19) 5-1 @ 0.99% (  0.03) Other @ 3.54% Total : 51.51% | 1-1 @ 10.54% (  -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.94% (  0.5) 0-0 @ 4.68% (  -0.75) 3-3 @ 1.49% (  0.28) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.48% (  0.45) 0-1 @ 5.76% (  -0.27) 0-2 @ 3.54% (  0.19) 1-3 @ 2.66% (  0.43) 2-3 @ 2.43% (  0.42) 0-3 @ 1.45% (  0.21) Other @ 3.29% Total : 25.61% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 | 
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 | 
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 | 
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 | 
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 | 
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 | 
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 | 
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 | 
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 | 
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 | 
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 | 
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 | 
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 | 
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 | 
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 | 
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 | 
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 | 
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 | 
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