

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Clermont win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 28.14% ( | 24.21% ( | 47.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( | 45.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( | 67.38% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( | 29.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.5% ( | 65.5% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( | 19.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.43% ( | 50.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 3-0 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0-3 @ 4.28% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 47.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
