Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Clermont win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
28.14% (![]() | 24.21% (![]() | 47.65% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% (![]() | 45.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% (![]() | 67.38% (![]() |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% (![]() | 29.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% (![]() | 65.5% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% (![]() | 19.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.43% (![]() | 50.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 6.94% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 11.36% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 9.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.73% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 3.24% Total : 47.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |