Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Toulouse |
35.4% (![]() | 25.94% (![]() | 38.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.02% (![]() | 49.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.04% (![]() | 71.96% (![]() |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% (![]() | 27.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% (![]() | 62.6% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% (![]() | 25.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% (![]() | 60.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 8.97% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.31% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.46% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |