Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Angers had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers | 
| 37.66% (  0.04) | 27.33% (  0.04) | 35.01% (  -0.08) | 
| Both teams to score 49.81% (  -0.13) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.28% (  -0.16) | 55.72% (  0.16) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.14% (  -0.13) | 76.86% (  0.13) | 
| Montpellier HSC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.4% (  -0.06) | 28.6% (  0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% (  -0.07) | 64.4% (  0.07) | 
| Angers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.77% (  -0.13) | 30.23% (  0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% (  -0.16) | 66.39% (  0.16) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers | 
| 1-0 @ 10.82% (  0.05) 2-1 @ 8.1% (  -0) 2-0 @ 6.77% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 3.38% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.83% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.02% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% (  -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.66% | 1-1 @ 12.94% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 8.65% (  0.05) 2-2 @ 4.85% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.34% (  0.03) 1-2 @ 7.75% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.19% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.09% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.47% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.01% |