Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Angers had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
| 37.66% ( | 27.33% ( | 35.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.28% ( | 55.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.14% ( | 76.86% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( | 28.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( | 64.4% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( | 30.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% ( | 66.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.66% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.01% |