Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Lens logo

Nantes
3 - 1
Lens

Leroux (36'), Simon (60' pen.), Elia (90+5')
Amian (58'), Lopes (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
El Aynaoui (65' pen.)
Gradit (28'), Medina (45+1'), Thomasson (66'), Fulgini (90+8')
N'Zola (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 7-1 Nantes
Saturday, February 15 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, February 16 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawLens
20.88% (0.144 0.14)25.01% (0.033999999999999 0.03)54.11% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (0.021999999999998 0.02)54.59% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (0.019000000000002 0.02)75.93% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.93% (0.166 0.17)41.06% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.39% (0.145 0.15)77.61% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)20.15% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (-0.103 -0.1)52.43% (0.1 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 20.88%
    Lens 54.1%
    Draw 25%
NantesDrawLens
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.027 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.25% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.28% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.56% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 20.88%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 13.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 10.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 5.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 54.1%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lens

Nantes
18.5%
Draw
18.5%
Lens
63.0%
27
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 11
Lens
3-2
Nantes
Frankowski (21' pen.), Ojediran (86'), Thomasson (90')
Medina (35'), Labeau (45+5')
Simon (36' pen.), Cozza (71')
Feb 3, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Nantes
0-1
Lens

Kadewere (27'), Douglas (61')
Costa (48')
Aguilar (81'), Danso (82')
Oct 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lens
4-0
Nantes
Sotoca (27' pen., 72' pen.), Medina (58'), El Aynaoui (89')
Wahi (68')

Comert (68'), Duverne (83')
Mar 1, 2023 5.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nantes
2-1
Lens
Delort (31' pen., 59' pen.)
Fofana (28')
Feb 19, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 24
Lens
3-1
Nantes
Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)
Mollet (40')