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Toulouse
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Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Toulouse

Nantes
0 - 0
Toulouse


Douglas (26'), Kombouare (70'), Kombouare (70'), Cozza (80')
FT

Canvot (9'), Donnum (80'), Cresswell (90+2')
Edjouma (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 PSG
Tuesday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, April 20 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawToulouse
23.55% (-0.129 -0.13)25.12% (0.309 0.31)51.32% (-0.18 -0.18)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-1.069 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59% (-1.34 -1.34)52.41% (1.34 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91% (-1.164 -1.16)74.09% (1.165 1.16)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8% (-0.861 -0.86)37.2% (0.86 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-0.858 -0.86)73.98% (0.858 0.86)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.605 -0.61)20.42% (0.604 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.968 -0.97)52.86% (0.968 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 23.55%
    Toulouse 51.32%
    Draw 25.12%
NantesDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.222 0.22)
2-1 @ 5.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.72% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 23.55%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.395 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 12.06% (0.41 0.41)
0-2 @ 9.58% (0.152 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-4 @ 2.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 51.32%

How you voted: Nantes vs Toulouse

Nantes
63.3%
Draw
22.4%
Toulouse
14.3%
49
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 1
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
Kamanzi (24')
Kadewere (45'), Castelletto (71'), Coco (71')
Feb 11, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 21
Toulouse
1-2
Nantes
Dallinga (90+6')
Sierro (19'), Gboho (41')
Mohamed (2'), Kadewere (51')
Sissoko (45+1')
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Nantes
1-2
Toulouse
Mohamed (13' pen.)
Coco (2'), Pallois (18')
Aboukhlal (62'), Nicolaisen (90+1')
Costa (52'), Sierro (73')
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 35
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
Apr 29, 2023 8pm
Final
Nantes
1-5
Toulouse
Blas (75' pen.)
Costa (4', 10'), Dallinga (23', 31'), Aboukhlal (79')