Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Monaco

Toulouse
1 - 1
Monaco

Magri (90+1')
Cresswell (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Minamino (17')
Mawissa (1'), Embolo (74'), Akliouche (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 0-4 Toulouse
Sunday, March 2 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 3-0 Reims
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawMonaco
33.92% (-0.012 -0.01)24.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)41.31% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)45.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)67.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)25.71% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)60.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.01% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 33.92%
    Monaco 41.31%
    Draw 24.77%
ToulouseDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.92%
1-1 @ 11.59%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.49%
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.31%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Monaco

Toulouse
15.0%
Draw
15.0%
Monaco
70.0%
100
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 14
Monaco
2-0
Toulouse
Singo (50'), Embolo (82')
Embolo (69'), Teze (90+1')

Aboukhlal (37'), Casseres Jr (71')
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Akliouche (48')
Zakaria (27')
Sierro (41'), Costa (70')
Mawissa (65'), Donnum (82'), Restes (90+3')
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Magri (5')
Costa (45+3'), Donnum (52')
Ben Yedder (26', 44')
Salisu (3'), Hutter (4'), Diop (57'), Magassa (66')
Golovin (51')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Ben Yedder (78')
Aguilar (12')
Aboukhlal (70'), Healey (90+4')
Sierro (58'), Healey (90+5')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Monaco
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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