Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse1 - 1Monaco
We said: Toulouse 1-2 Monaco
Toulouse have been excellent in their last two matches and will be confident of picking up a positive result on Friday night. That said, Monaco have so much quality in the forward areas, and we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to an important three points at Stadium de Toulouse. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Monaco |
33.92% ( -0.01) | 24.77% ( 0) | 41.31% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
