While being in the division below, Guingamp are only 13 places beneath Toulouse in the pyramid, and are in much better form, despite a defeat at the weekend. Toulouse have a torrid recent history against lower-league clubs, and this will be a stern test against a club with pedigree in this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Guingamp
47.19% ( 1.37)	25.53% ( -0.69)	27.28% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 52.15% (

1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.77% (

2.35)

51.23% (

-2.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.93% (

2.02)

73.06% (

-2.02)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28% (

1.62)

21.71% (

-1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.12% (

2.41)

54.87% (

-2.42)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

0.71)

33.38% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

0.78)

70% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 47.18%

Guingamp 27.28%

Draw 25.53%

Toulouse	Draw	Guingamp
1-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.34% Total : 47.18%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.28%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Guingamp

Toulouse

71.4%

Draw

3.6%

Guingamp

25.0%

Head to Head

Apr 9, 2022 2pm

Gameweek 32

Guingamp

2-4

Toulouse

Ba (31'), Merghem (34')
Merghem (72'), Quemper (74'), Diarra (81')

Ratao (15'), Healey (38', 48', 75')
Desler (40'), Ratao (59'), Spierings (68')

Oct 30, 2021 2pm

Gameweek 14

Toulouse

2-2

Guingamp

Spierings (58'), N'Goumou (62')
van den Boomen (85'), Desler (90+2')

Pierrot (25'), M'Changama (89')
Diarra (2'), Livolant (90+3')

Apr 12, 2021 7.45pm

Gameweek 32

Guingamp

1-1

Toulouse

Livolant (27')
Mellot (55'), Sampaio (71'), Niakate (90+2')

Healey (37')
Kone (40'), Sanna (50')

Dec 5, 2020 6pm

Gameweek 14

Toulouse

2-2

Guingamp

Healey (51'), Antiste (73')
Moreira (55'), Amian (63')

Gomis (56' pen.), Ngbakoto (81')
Valdivia (50'), Livolant (65'), Niakate (88'), Fofana (90+4')

Mar 10, 2019 2pm

Gameweek 28

Toulouse

1-0

Guingamp

Sanogo (20')
Sanogo (58')

Thuram (27'), Phiri (52')
Coco (44')

Form Guide

Toulouse 1-1 Nice

Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier

Lyon 0-0 Toulouse

Toulouse 2-1 Laval

Toulouse 1-2 Strasbourg

Lens 0-1 Toulouse

Guingamp 0-1 Paris FC

Caen 0-1 Guingamp

Guingamp 3-0 Rodez AF

Guingamp 2-2 Sochaux (8-8 pen.)

Annecy 1-4 Guingamp

Guingamp 1-1 Dunkerque

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