Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse0 - 2Guingamp
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Nice
Sunday, February 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, February 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Guingamp 0-1 Paris FC
Saturday, February 1 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, February 1 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
35
We said: Toulouse 1-2 Guingamp
While being in the division below, Guingamp are only 13 places beneath Toulouse in the pyramid, and are in much better form, despite a defeat at the weekend. Toulouse have a torrid recent history against lower-league clubs, and this will be a stern test against a club with pedigree in this competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Guingamp |
47.19% ( 1.37) | 25.53% ( -0.69) | 27.28% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 52.15% ( 1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.77% ( 2.35) | 51.23% ( -2.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% ( 2.02) | 73.06% ( -2.02) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( 1.62) | 21.71% ( -1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.12% ( 2.41) | 54.87% ( -2.42) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.71) | 33.38% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30% ( 0.78) | 70% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
Toulouse 47.18%
Guingamp 27.28%
Draw 25.53%
| Toulouse | Draw | Guingamp |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.34% Total : 47.18% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.71)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.28% |
How you voted: Toulouse vs Guingamp
Toulouse
71.4%Draw
3.6%Guingamp
25.0%28
