Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Angers had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Toulouse |
| 25.3% ( | 26.71% ( | 47.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.01% ( | 56.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.12% ( | 77.88% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.84% ( | 38.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.08% ( | 74.92% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( | 23.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% ( | 57.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-1 @ 6.05% ( 2-0 @ 4.21% ( 3-1 @ 1.94% ( 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 3-0 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 25.3% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.34% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 13.03% ( 0-2 @ 9.36% ( 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.99% |