Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 31, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 3
Nantes

Adams (30')
Nzingoula (85'), Ferri (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Abline (24'), Simon (45+7' pen.), Mohamed (85')
Coco (81'), Lafont (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 6-0 Montpellier
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Auxerre
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Nantes
38.67% ( 0.42)	28.03% ( 0.13)	33.3% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 47.46% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.45% (

-0.54)

58.55% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.88% (

-0.42)

79.12% (

0.43)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.61% (

-0.01)

29.39% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.62% (

-0.02)

65.38% (

0.02)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.21% (

-0.65)

32.79% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.65% (

-0.73)

69.35% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 38.66%

Nantes 33.3%

Draw 28.02%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.61% Total : 38.66%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.3%