Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 18, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Savanier (67' pen.)
Ferri (21'), Sagnan (53'), Nordin (78'), Al Tamari (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diarra (58')
Sylla (27'), Doukoure (82'), Fila (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Montpellier
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Strasbourg
46.71% ( -0.07)	26.53% ( 0.05)	26.76% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.8% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.59% (

-0.18)

55.41% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.39% (

-0.15)

76.6% (

0.15)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3% (

-0.11)

23.7% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.17% (

-0.16)

57.82% (

0.16)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.96% (

-0.08)

36.04% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.18% (

-0.09)

72.82% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 46.71%

Strasbourg 26.76%

Draw 26.53%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.71%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.76%