Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Nice |
30.49% (![]() | 26.34% (![]() | 43.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.16% (![]() | 52.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.54% (![]() | 74.46% (![]() |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.19% (![]() | 31.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.76% (![]() | 68.24% (![]() |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.71% (![]() | 24.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.34% (![]() | 58.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 8.85% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.49% | 1-1 @ 12.52% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.73% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.93% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 80 | 26 | 54 | 74 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 53 |
3 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 50 |
5 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 50 |
6 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
7 | Lyon | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 48 |
8 | Brest | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 43 |
9 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 42 |
10 | Auxerre | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 38 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Rennes | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 32 |
13 | NantesNantes | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 30 |
14 | Reims | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
15 | Angers | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 27 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 27 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 64 | -36 | 23 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 28 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |