MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:03:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Stoke


Robertson (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fish (85' og.)
Al-Hamadi (45+13'), Phillips (60'), Gallagher (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Luton
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City

After three straight draws, Cardiff City will be desperate for maximum points on their own patch against fellow strugglers Stoke this weekend. The Potters are notoriously poor on the road and could be set for another disappointing outing, worsening their situation in the relegation dogfight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
43.39% (-0.208 -0.21) 26.96% (0.286 0.29) 29.65% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.34% (-0.895 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (-1.129 -1.13)55.59% (1.124 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.934 -0.93)76.76% (0.929 0.93)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-0.61399999999999 -0.61)25.41% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-0.845 -0.84)60.22% (0.841 0.84)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14% (-0.65299999999999 -0.65)33.85% (0.649 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.48% (-0.714 -0.71)70.52% (0.711 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 43.38%
    Stoke City 29.65%
    Draw 26.96%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 43.38%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.368 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.239 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.65%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
70.5%
Draw
22.7%
Stoke City
6.8%
44
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2025 3pm
Fourth Round
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
(Aggregate 3-3 | Cardiff win 4-2 on penalties)
Koumas (42', 46'), Baker (58' pen.)
Gibson (90+7')
Colwill (8', 68'), Salech (20')
Colwill (88'), O'Dowda (90+8'), Fish (98')
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Moran (17'), Gibson (90+5')
Moran (24'), Wilmot (65'), Gibson (66'), Famiwuya (67')
El Ghazi (32'), B (73' og.)
Ralls (43')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Etete (5'), Grant (32')
Ng (40'), Siopis (51'), Ralls (76'), Goutas (83')
Bae (41')
Thompson (45+2'), Burger (73')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
0-0
Cardiff
McNally (42')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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