Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
0 - 1
Stoke

Robertson (70'), Robertson (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fish (85' og., 85' og.)
Al-Hamadi (45+13'), Al-Hamadi (45+13'), Phillips (60'), Phillips (60'), Gallagher (72'), Gallagher (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Luton
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
43.39% ( -0.21)	26.96% ( 0.29)	29.65% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.34% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.41% (

-1.13)

55.59% (

1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

-0.93)

76.76% (

0.93)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-0.61)

25.41% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-0.84)

60.22% (

0.84)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14% (

-0.65)

33.85% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.48% (

-0.71)

70.52% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 43.38%

Stoke City 29.65%

Draw 26.96%

Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.38%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.65%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City

70.5%

Draw

22.7%

Stoke City

6.8%

Head to Head

Feb 8, 2025 3pm

Fourth Round

Stoke

3-3

Cardiff

(Aggregate 3-3 | Cardiff win 4-2 on penalties)

Koumas (42', 46'), Baker (58' pen.)
Gibson (90+7')

Colwill (8', 68'), Salech (20')
Colwill (88'), O'Dowda (90+8'), Fish (98')

> Preview

Dec 14, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 21

Stoke

2-2

Cardiff

Moran (17'), Gibson (90+5')
Moran (24'), Wilmot (65'), Gibson (66'), Famiwuya (67')

El Ghazi (32'), B (73' og.)
Ralls (43')

> Preview

Feb 24, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 34

Cardiff

2-1

Stoke

Etete (5'), Grant (32')
Ng (40'), Siopis (51'), Ralls (76'), Goutas (83')

Bae (41')
Thompson (45+2'), Burger (73')

> Preview

Nov 4, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 15

Stoke

0-0

Cardiff

McNally (42')

> Preview

Apr 22, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 44

Cardiff

1-1

Stoke

Kaba (29')

Laurent (16')

> Preview

Form Guide

Preston 2-2 Cardiff

QPR 0-0 Cardiff

Cardiff 1-1 Sheff Weds

Blackburn 1-2 Cardiff

Cardiff 1-2 Luton

Sunderland 2-1 Cardiff

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table