Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Preston North End logo
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Stoke logo

Preston
1 - 1
Stoke

Kesler (10')
Brady (15'), Osmajic (39'), Lindsay (74'), Ledson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Baker (75' pen.)
Gallagher (55'), Baker (76'), Thompson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-0 Preston
Wednesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-1 QPR
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 27.93% and a draw has a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.95%).

Result
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
44.31% (-0.31 -0.31)27.75% (0.299 0.3)27.93% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.822 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.8% (-1.05 -1.05)59.2% (1.045 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (-0.818 -0.82)79.62% (0.813 0.81)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.64099999999999 -0.64)26.58% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.855 -0.85)61.8% (0.851 0.85)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (-0.569 -0.57)37.14% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (-0.566 -0.57)73.92% (0.56 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 44.31%
    Stoke City 27.93%
    Draw 27.75%
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 44.31%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.87% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.234 0.23)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 27.93%

How you voted: Preston vs Stoke

Preston North End
71.4%
Draw
10.7%
Stoke City
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Stoke
0-0
Preston
Burger (48')
Woodman (53'), Riis Jakobsen (90+7')
Woodman (90')
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Preston
1-2
Stoke
Osmajic (68')
Whiteman (21'), McCann (53')
Hughes (64' og.), McNally (87')
Burger (21'), Hoever (90+3')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-2
Preston

Pearson (1'), Stevens (63'), Laurent (90+6')
Keane (51' pen., 57')
Lindsay (24'), Frokjaer-Jensen (45+1'), Holmes (63'), Browne (67')
Jan 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
0-1
Preston
Evans (90+3')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Preston
0-2
Stoke
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!