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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Stoke logo

Preston
1 - 1
Stoke

Kesler (10')
Brady (15'), Osmajic (39'), Lindsay (74'), Ledson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Baker (75' pen.)
Gallagher (55'), Baker (76'), Thompson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-0 Preston
Wednesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-1 QPR
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 27.93% and a draw has a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.95%).

Result
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
44.31% (-0.31 -0.31)27.75% (0.299 0.3)27.93% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.822 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.8% (-1.05 -1.05)59.2% (1.045 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (-0.818 -0.82)79.62% (0.813 0.81)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.64099999999999 -0.64)26.58% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.855 -0.85)61.8% (0.851 0.85)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (-0.569 -0.57)37.14% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (-0.566 -0.57)73.92% (0.56 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 44.31%
    Stoke City 27.93%
    Draw 27.75%
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 44.31%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.87% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.234 0.23)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 27.93%

How you voted: Preston vs Stoke

Preston North End
71.4%
Draw
10.7%
Stoke City
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Stoke
0-0
Preston
Burger (48')
Woodman (53'), Riis Jakobsen (90+7')
Woodman (90')
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Preston
1-2
Stoke
Osmajic (68')
Whiteman (21'), McCann (53')
Hughes (64' og.), McNally (87')
Burger (21'), Hoever (90+3')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-2
Preston

Pearson (1'), Stevens (63'), Laurent (90+6')
Keane (51' pen., 57')
Lindsay (24'), Frokjaer-Jensen (45+1'), Holmes (63'), Browne (67')
Jan 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
0-1
Preston
Evans (90+3')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Preston
0-2
Stoke
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')