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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Stoke logo

Preston
1 - 1
Stoke

Kesler (10')
Brady (15'), Osmajic (39'), Lindsay (74'), Ledson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Baker (75' pen.)
Gallagher (55'), Baker (76'), Thompson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-0 Preston
Wednesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-1 QPR
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-1 Stoke City

Last losing a Championship home contest in early November, Preston should be confident of earning a positive result on Saturday despite back-to-back defeats over the past week. Stoke were excellent at their own place last Saturday but have been notoriously poor on the road recently, and we are envisaging another tough away afternoon for the Potters in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 27.93% and a draw has a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.95%).

Result
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
44.31% (-0.31 -0.31) 27.75% (0.299 0.3) 27.93% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.822 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.8% (-1.05 -1.05)59.2% (1.045 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (-0.818 -0.82)79.62% (0.813 0.81)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.64099999999999 -0.64)26.58% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.855 -0.85)61.8% (0.851 0.85)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (-0.569 -0.57)37.14% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (-0.566 -0.57)73.92% (0.56 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 44.31%
    Stoke City 27.93%
    Draw 27.75%
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 44.31%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.87% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.234 0.23)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 27.93%

How you voted: Preston vs Stoke

Preston North End
71.4%
Draw
10.7%
Stoke City
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Stoke
0-0
Preston
Burger (48')
Woodman (53'), Riis Jakobsen (90+7')
Woodman (90')
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Preston
1-2
Stoke
Osmajic (68')
Whiteman (21'), McCann (53')
Hughes (64' og.), McNally (87')
Burger (21'), Hoever (90+3')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-2
Preston

Pearson (1'), Stevens (63'), Laurent (90+6')
Keane (51' pen., 57')
Lindsay (24'), Frokjaer-Jensen (45+1'), Holmes (63'), Browne (67')
Jan 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
0-1
Preston
Evans (90+3')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Preston
0-2
Stoke
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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