Championship

Championship | Gameweek 31

Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Bae (45')
Conway (78'), Moran (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Forss (20'), Azaz (52'), Conway (73')
Borges (75'), Conway (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Stoke
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Middlesbrough
34.38% ( 0.1)	25.52% ( -0.04)	40.1% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 55.62% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.72% (

0.2)

48.28% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.57% (

0.18)

70.42% (

-0.18)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

0.16)

26.99% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

0.21)

62.34% (

-0.2)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18% (

0.06)

23.81% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.01% (

0.09)

57.99% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 34.38%

Middlesbrough 40.1%

Draw 25.51%

Stoke City	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.38%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.1%

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City

59.1%

Draw

13.6%

Middlesbrough

27.3%

Head to Head

Sep 28, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 7

Middlesbrough

2-0

Stoke

Doak (34'), Hackney (73')
Edmundson (43'), Hackney (45+1'), Doak (56'), Azaz (66')

Burger (11'), Manhoef (27'), Wilmot (39'), Cannon (42'), Tchamadeu (59'), Gallagher (69'), Rose (82')

> Preview

Aug 27, 2024 7.15pm

Second Round

Middlesbrough

0-5

Stoke

Tezgel (14'), Mmaee (57'), Koumas (60'), Manhoef (65', 69')
McCabe (77')

> Preview

Mar 2, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 35

Stoke

2-0

Middlesbrough

Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')

Latte Lath (51')

> Preview

Oct 28, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 14

Middlesbrough

0-2

Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')

Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')

> Preview

Mar 14, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 37

Middlesbrough

1-1

Stoke

Akpom (23')

Hoever (45')

> Preview

Form Guide

Norwich 4-2 Stoke

Stoke 3-1 Swansea

Bristol City 2-0 Stoke

Stoke 3-3 Cardiff (2-4 pen.)

Hull City 1-2 Stoke

Stoke 0-0 Oxford Utd

Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 0-1 Watford

Sheff Utd 3-1 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 2-3 Sunderland

Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 2-0 West Brom

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table