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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 24.2% ( | 24.74% ( | 51.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% ( | 50.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% ( | 72.26% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( | 35.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.77% ( | 72.22% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( | 19.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.29% ( | 51.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 2-1 @ 6.1% ( 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 3-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.2% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0-2 @ 9.22% ( 1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0-3 @ 4.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 51.05% |