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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Middlesbrough logo

Preston
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Teitur Thordarson (28'), Riis Jakobsen (78')
Greenwood (13'), Meghoma (45+1'), Ledson (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Burgzorg (52')
Ayling (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 West Brom
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-1 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough will be looking to take all three points to aid their playoff bid, but we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils when they face a Preston side that have drawn five of their last seven home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
24.2% (0.224 0.22) 24.74% (0.067 0.07) 51.06% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)
Both teams to score 51.82% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68% (-0.064 -0.06)50.32% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)72.26% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (0.167 0.17)35.46% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (0.17 0.17)72.22% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)19.7% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-0.23200000000001 -0.23)51.71% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 24.2%
    Middlesbrough 51.05%
    Draw 24.73%
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.1% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.76% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.2%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.22% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 51.05%

How you voted: Preston vs Middlesbrough

Preston North End
33.3%
Draw
41.7%
Middlesbrough
25.0%
24
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Middlesbrough
1-1
Preston
Conway (16')
Frokjaer-Jensen (43')
Whatmough (33'), Storey (36'), Hughes (60'), Woodman (74'), Brady (86')
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Preston
2-1
Middlesbrough
Millar (23'), Riis Jakobsen (60')
Storey (86'), Browne (90+2')
Azaz (57')
McGree (90+6')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
4-0
Preston
Jones (16', 37'), Van den Berg (26'), Bangura (90+4')

Potts (65'), Hughes (82')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Middlesbrough
4-0
Preston
Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Preston
2-1
Middlesbrough
Riis Jakobsen (35'), Storey (90+1')
Akpom (8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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