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Middlesbrough logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 12pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Blackburn logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Blackburn


McCabe (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Weimann (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Middlesbrough and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Blackburn Rovers (Middlesbrough win on penalties)

There is almost nothing to separate the sides in the Championship table, and both managers could be tempted to make some personnel changes with the promotion picture hotting up. The two sides have won very few games in recent weeks, and this one may go all the way, with Boro proving tough to beat, even if they have only won two of their last six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBlackburn Rovers
58.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 22.31% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 18.85% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)46.43% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)15.44% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)44.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (0.019000000000005 0.02)38.55% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)75.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 58.82%
    Blackburn Rovers 18.85%
    Draw 22.31%
MiddlesbroughDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.85%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Blackburn

Middlesbrough
Draw
Blackburn Rovers
Middlesbrough
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Blackburn Rovers
14.3%
42
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Middlesbrough
0-0
Blackburn
Latte Lath (31'), Ayling (57'), Greenwood (90')
Wharton (31'), Hedges (81'), Ayari (89')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
2-1
Middlesbrough
Szmodics (31', 49')
Carter (28')
Crooks (55')
Lenihan (40'), Hackney (88')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Blackburn
1-2
Middlesbrough
Hedges (5')
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
1-2
Blackburn
Watmore (45+1')
Lenihan (4' og.), Gallagher (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool36258383374683
2Arsenal371914467333471
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle372061168462266
4Chelsea37199963432066
5Aston Villa3719995849966
6Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest371981058451365
8Brentford37167146556955
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Fulham37159135452254
11Bournemouth3614111155431253
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton371015124144-345
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham371010174361-1840
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd37109184254-1239
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs37115216361238
RLeicester CityLeicester3767243378-4525
RIpswich TownIpswich37410233579-4422
RSouthampton3726292584-5912


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