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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Luton Town

Blackburn
2 - 0
Luton

Cozier-Duberry (32'), Beck (41')
Pickering (1'), Gueye (52'), Rankin-Costello (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Clark (3'), Brown (60')
Walsh (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Blackburn
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Stoke
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLuton Town
46.27% (1.036 1.04)25.68% (-0.02 -0.02)28.04% (-1.02 -1.02)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-0.593 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (-0.465 -0.47)51.36% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (-0.408 -0.41)73.18% (0.405 0.41)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (0.28 0.28)22.18% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (0.42 0.42)55.58% (-0.422 -0.42)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (-1.01 -1.01)32.85% (1.008 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (-1.138 -1.14)69.42% (1.136 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 46.27%
    Luton Town 28.05%
    Draw 25.68%
Blackburn RoversDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.178 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.195 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.05%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Luton

Blackburn Rovers
76.6%
Draw
14.9%
Luton Town
8.5%
47
Head to Head
May 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 45
Blackburn
1-1
Luton
Carter (86')
Lockyer (50')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Luton
2-0
Blackburn
Morris (58'), Burke (67')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
0-0
Blackburn
Bree (29'), Lockyer (47'), Cornick (90+6')
Paul van Hecke (28'), Kaminski (90+6')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
2-2
Luton
Dolan (27'), Pickering (31')
Lenihan (8'), Dolan (48'), Brereton Diaz (49'), Gallagher (67')
Berry (73', 90+7')
Naismith (36'), Sluga (49'), Jerome (50'), Osho (59'), Lansbury (61')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Blackburn
1-0
Luton
Armstrong (85')
Travis (50')

Rea (63')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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