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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Luton Town

Blackburn
2 - 0
Luton

Cozier-Duberry (32'), Beck (41')
Pickering (1'), Gueye (52'), Rankin-Costello (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Clark (3'), Brown (60')
Walsh (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Blackburn
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Stoke
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Luton Town

We expect Luton's poor away form to continue at Ewood Park this weekend, as a strong Blackburn side will be eager for all three points as they continue their playoff push. With the hosts keeping clean sheets in each of their last four matches, we expect that trend to continue here in a comfortable 2-0 victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLuton Town
46.27% (1.036 1.04) 25.68% (-0.02 -0.02) 28.04% (-1.02 -1.02)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-0.593 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (-0.465 -0.47)51.36% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (-0.408 -0.41)73.18% (0.405 0.41)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (0.28 0.28)22.18% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (0.42 0.42)55.58% (-0.422 -0.42)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (-1.01 -1.01)32.85% (1.008 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (-1.138 -1.14)69.42% (1.136 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 46.27%
    Luton Town 28.05%
    Draw 25.68%
Blackburn RoversDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.178 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.195 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.05%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Luton

Blackburn Rovers
76.6%
Draw
14.9%
Luton Town
8.5%
47
Head to Head
May 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 45
Blackburn
1-1
Luton
Carter (86')
Lockyer (50')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Luton
2-0
Blackburn
Morris (58'), Burke (67')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
0-0
Blackburn
Bree (29'), Lockyer (47'), Cornick (90+6')
Paul van Hecke (28'), Kaminski (90+6')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
2-2
Luton
Dolan (27'), Pickering (31')
Lenihan (8'), Dolan (48'), Brereton Diaz (49'), Gallagher (67')
Berry (73', 90+7')
Naismith (36'), Sluga (49'), Jerome (50'), Osho (59'), Lansbury (61')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Blackburn
1-0
Luton
Armstrong (85')
Travis (50')

Rea (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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