

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 55.46% ( | 22.65% ( | 21.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( | 43.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( | 66.21% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% ( | 15.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.3% ( | 44.7% ( |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% ( | 33.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.36% ( | 70.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 55.47% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 21.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 |
| P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 |
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 |
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 |
| 14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 |
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 |
| R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 |
| R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 |
| R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 |
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