Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
4 - 2
Luton

Crnac (25', 33'), Marcondes (81'), Sainz (86')
Hernandez (63')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Adebayo (20'), Brown (49')
McGuinness (71'), Woodrow (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 6-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Luton Town
61.13% ( -0.01)	20.38% ( -0.01)	18.49% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 57.92% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.76% (

0.12)

38.24% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.48% (

0.13)

60.52% (

-0.12)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

0.04)

12.09% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.36% (

0.07)

37.64% (

-0.07)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89% (

0.1)

34.11% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

0.11)

70.8% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 61.13%

Luton Town 18.49%

Draw 20.38%

Norwich City	Draw	Luton Town
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 61.13%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.38%	1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 18.49%

How you voted: Norwich vs Luton

Norwich City

73.8%

Draw

14.8%

Luton Town

11.5%

Head to Head

Dec 26, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 24

Luton

2-1

Norwich

Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')

Pukki (69')

> Preview

Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 16

Norwich

0-1

Luton

Morris (62')

> Preview

Mar 6, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 35

Norwich

3-0

Luton

Pukki (12', 43'), Cantwell (73')

> Match Report

Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm

Gameweek 15

Luton

3-1

Norwich

Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')

Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')

> Match Report

Sep 5, 2020 3pm

First Round

Luton

3-1

Norwich

Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')

Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')

> Match Report

Form Guide

Norwich 6-1 Plymouth

West Brom 2-2 Norwich

Norwich 0-2 Bristol City

Sheff Weds 2-0 Norwich

Cardiff 2-1 Norwich

Norwich 3-3 Middlesbrough

Leeds 3-0 Luton

Luton 1-0 Hull City

Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton

Nations League

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

Palestine

North Korea

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table