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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Luton Town

Norwich
4 - 2
Luton

Crnac (25', 33'), Marcondes (81'), Sainz (86')
Hernandez (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Adebayo (20'), Brown (49')
McGuinness (71'), Woodrow (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 6-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Luton Town

Having conceded eight goals in their last two away games, we do not envisage this fixture going Luton's way. Although Norwich have lost ground on the playoff spots, their performance versus Plymouth should stand them in good stead ahead of this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
61.13% (-0.012 -0.01) 20.38% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 18.49% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.92% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (0.121 0.12)38.24% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48% (0.127 0.13)60.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.035000000000011 0.04)12.09% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (0.07 0.07)37.64% (-0.067 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (0.102 0.1)34.11% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (0.107 0.11)70.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 61.13%
    Luton Town 18.49%
    Draw 20.38%
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 61.13%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 18.49%

How you voted: Norwich vs Luton

Norwich City
73.8%
Draw
14.8%
Luton Town
11.5%
61
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
2-1
Norwich
Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Pukki (69')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Norwich
0-1
Luton
Morris (62')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Norwich
3-0
Luton
Pukki (12', 43'), Cantwell (73')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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