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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Hull logo

Luton
1 - 0
Hull City

McGuinness (33')
Burke (22'), Nakamba (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coyle (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 West Brom
Sunday, November 10 at 1pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Hull City

Saturday's meeting is crucial for both teams in their bid to put a tough start to the season behind them. Luton Town are yet to show their quality on their return to the Championship but should have enough to get over the line at Kenilworth Road against a Hull City side also struggling for confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawHull City
36.51% (-1.275 -1.28) 25.53% (0.293 0.29) 37.95% (0.982 0.98)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (-1.34 -1.34)48.11% (1.34 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73% (-1.241 -1.24)70.27% (1.241 1.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-1.317 -1.32)25.66% (1.319 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-1.827 -1.83)60.57% (1.828 1.83)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)24.87% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.108 -0.11)59.48% (0.109 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 36.51%
    Hull City 37.95%
    Draw 25.53%
Luton TownDrawHull City
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.347 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.464 0.46)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.309 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.95%

How you voted: Luton vs Hull City

Luton Town
74.1%
Draw
13.8%
Hull City
12.1%
58
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Sep 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 12
Hull City
0-2
Luton
Jones (6' og.), Lansbury (44')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Hull City
1-3
Luton
Eaves (90+2')
Huddlestone (71'), Honeyman (86')
Adebayo (9'), Cornick (56'), Bree (72')
Clark (11'), Kioso (25')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Luton
1-0
Hull City
Adebayo (17')

Bernard (27')
Jul 18, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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