Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Hull City | 
| 36.51% (  -1.28) | 25.53% (  0.29) | 37.95% (  0.98) | 
| Both teams to score 55.85% (  -1.05) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.89% (  -1.34) | 48.11% (  1.34) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.73% (  -1.24) | 70.27% (  1.24) | 
| Luton Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.33% (  -1.32) | 25.66% (  1.32) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.43% (  -1.83) | 60.57% (  1.83) | 
| Hull City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.13% (  -0.08) | 24.87% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.52% (  -0.11) | 59.48% (  0.11) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Luton Town | Draw | Hull City | 
| 1-0 @ 8.68% (  0.15) 2-1 @ 8.22% (  -0.19) 2-0 @ 5.9% (  -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.72% (  -0.23) 3-0 @ 2.68% (  -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.59% (  -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.27% (  -0.13) 4-0 @ 0.91% (  -0.09) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 12.08% (  0.19) 0-0 @ 6.38% (  0.35) 2-2 @ 5.72% (  -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.2% (  -0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.88% (  0.46) 1-2 @ 8.4% (  0.11) 0-2 @ 6.18% (  0.31) 1-3 @ 3.9% (  0.04) 0-3 @ 2.87% (  0.14) 2-3 @ 2.65% (  -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.36% (  0.01) 0-4 @ 1% (  0.05) 2-4 @ 0.92% (  -0.03) Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.95% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 | 
| P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 | 
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 | 
| 4 | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 | 
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 | 
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 | 
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 | 
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 | 
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 | 
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 | 
| 14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 | 
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 | 
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 | 
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 | 
| 19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 | 
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 | 
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 | 
| R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 | 
| R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 | 
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