MX23RW : Wednesday, May 14 14:25:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sunderland

Luton
1 - 2
Sunderland

Adebayo (63')
Holmes (90+8'), O'Nien (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rigg (55'), Mundle (66')
Rigg (29'), Patterson (74'), Bellingham (90+8'), Morris (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Sunderland

Following their thumping of Watford on the weekend, Luton should be confident of recording a positive result under the lights at Kenilworth Road once again, despite the league leaders being in town. Sunderland cruised to victory over Hull last time out, although we believe that the Hatters will be more of a nuisance, leading to a share of the spoils in Bedfordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
35.39% (1.879 1.88) 25.83% (0.604 0.6) 38.77% (-2.49 -2.49)
Both teams to score 54.7% (-1.681 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46% (-2.336 -2.34)49.53% (2.329 2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (-2.135 -2.14)71.56% (2.129 2.13)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.012999999999991 0.01)26.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.019999999999996 0.02)62.33% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-2.322 -2.32)25.07% (2.315 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-3.316 -3.32)59.76% (3.309 3.31)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.39%
    Sunderland 38.77%
    Draw 25.83%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.817 0.82)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.538 0.54)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.39%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.621 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.263 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.334 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.439 -0.44)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.336 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.77%

How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland

Luton Town
41.2%
Draw
22.4%
Sunderland
36.5%
85
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 8pm
Luton
2-0
Sunderland
Osho (10'), Lockyer (43')
Clark (18'), Ruddock (90+4')

O'Nien (30'), Alese (90+5')
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Diallo (39'), Hume (63')
Neill (16'), O'Nien (30'), Diallo (84')
Adebayo (11')
Nakamba (29'), Ruddock (38'), Doughty (73'), Clark (77')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Diallo (86' pen.)
Doughty (51')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Morris (45+2')
Embleton (78')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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