

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland | 
| 47.47% (  -0.13) | 26.01% (  0.04) | 26.52% (  0.09) | 
| Both teams to score 50.14% (  -0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.42% (  -0.08) | 53.58% (  0.09) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.92% (  -0.07) | 75.08% (  0.07) | 
| Luton Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.43% (  -0.09) | 22.57% (  0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.84% (  -0.14) | 56.16% (  0.14) | 
| Sunderland Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.75% (  0.03) | 35.25% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28% (  0.03) | 72% (  -0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland | 
| 1-0 @ 11.84% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.81% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.56% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.37% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.63% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 12.34% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 7.95% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 4.79% (  -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.3% (  0.04) 1-2 @ 6.44% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 4.33% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 2.24% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.5% (  0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.52% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 | 
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 | 
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 | 
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 | 
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 | 
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 | 
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 | 
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 | 
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 | 
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 | 
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 | 
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 | 
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 | 
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 | 
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 | 
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 | 
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 | 
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 | 
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 | 
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