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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sunderland |
| 28.74% ( | 23.63% ( | 47.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.98% ( | 42.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.57% ( | 64.43% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% | 27.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.96% ( | 63.04% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( | 17.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.4% ( | 48.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.74% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 5.41% ( 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 2-4 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 47.63% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 |
| P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 |
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 |
| P | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 |
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 |
| 14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 |
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 |
| R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 |
| R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 |
| R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 |
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