Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup

Watford logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Plymouth Argyle

Watford
2 - 0
Plymouth

Rajovic (17', 73')
Morris (41'), Dele-Bashiru (45'), Tikvic (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Houghton (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Derby
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
53.55% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)22.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.85% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.46% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.64% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)41.35% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)63.75% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.44% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.7% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)44.29% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85%67.15% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.55%
    Plymouth Argyle 23.85%
    Draw 22.58%
WatfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 53.55%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 5.75%
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 23.85%

How you voted: Watford vs Plymouth

Watford
82.6%
Draw
4.3%
Plymouth Argyle
13.0%
92
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Plymouth
3-3
Watford
Azaz (20'), Whittaker (27'), Hardie (42')
Mumba (59'), Randell (86')
Kayembe (11'), Kone (38'), Andrews (57')
Livermore (43'), Healey (87'), Asprilla (88'), Martins (88')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Watford
0-0
Plymouth
Scarr (71'), Mumba (78')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2010 3pm
Watford
1-0
Plymouth
Helguson (50')
Henderson (90')

Mackie (55')
Sep 15, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Watford

Timar (27'), Arnason (37'), McNamee (43')
Cleverley (4')
Mar 3, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Watford
Gallagher (73', 35' pen.)

Williamson (3')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!