We said: Watford 1-3 Brentford
Struggling to contain lower league opposition so far during pre-season, Watford have a massive task on their hands to keep Brentford's attacking stars at bay this weekend.
The Bees were not at their best in Portugal recently, but with a host of first-team players returning from extended breaks, the visitors should cruise to victory at Vicarage Road.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Brentford has a probability of 30.99% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Brentford win is 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.54%).