MX23RW : Sunday, August 4 23:09:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Alinja Arena
Gremio

Athletico PR
0 - 2
Gremio


Gamarra (17'), Cuello (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martins (18'), Monsalve (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Gremio
Thursday, August 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-2 Gremio

While Gremio continue to battle the drop and have a very poor away record this season, they have begun to show signs of life in recent weeks, and we feel they will continue their upward trajectory by claiming a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw has a probability of 25% and a win for Gremio has a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Gremio win it is 0-1 (7.38%).

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
53.74% (-1.721 -1.72) 25.01% (0.352 0.35) 21.25% (1.372 1.37)
Both teams to score 47.54% (0.912 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8% (0.207 0.21)54.2% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39% (0.171 0.17)75.61% (-0.17 -0.17)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)20.15% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (-0.973 -0.97)52.43% (0.974 0.97)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.54% (1.581 1.58)40.46% (-1.579 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.93% (1.401 1.4)77.07% (-1.399 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 53.73%
    Gremio 21.25%
    Draw 25%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
1-0 @ 13.05% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-0 @ 10.46% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.37 -0.37)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.172 0.17)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.256 0.26)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.31 0.31)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.252 0.25)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.158 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Gremio

Athletico Paranaense
48.3%
Draw
41.4%
Gremio
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 2
Gremio
2-0
Athletico PR
Cristaldo (19'), Soteldo (51')
Nunes (71')

Santana (33'), Vitor (59'), Esquivel (71')
Oct 18, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 27
Gremio
1-2
Athletico PR
Besozzi (7')
Suarez (44'), Reinaldo (58')
Reinaldo (90+7')
Zapelli (38'), Rocha (90+4')
Canobbio (25'), Santana (53'), Heleno (57'), Esquivel (73'), Cuello (85'), Rocha (90+5')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletico PR
1-2
Gremio
Roque (34')
Bueno (55'), Heleno (76')
Cuiabano (31'), Uvini (49')
Adriel (55'), Reinaldo (56'), Henrique (90+6'), Martins (90+8')
Sep 26, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 22
Athletico PR
4-2
Gremio
Rocha (31', 45+1'), Kayzer (55', 61')
Ivaldo (67')
Thiago (59'), Vanderson (84')
Ruan (65'), Borja (66'), Costa (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3'), Sarara (90+4')
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Gremio
0-1
Athletico PR

Henrique (34'), Thiago (60'), Rafinha (65'), Ferreira (90+6'), Souza (90+7')
Babi (44')
Christian (11'), Babi (50'), Richard (87'), Khellven (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo21134435201543
2FlamengoFlamengo20124434201440
3PalmeirasPalmeiras21114628171137
4FortalezaFortaleza1910632418636
5Cruzeiro1911262820835
6Sao Paulo2110562921835
7Bahia219572925432
8Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR198472220228
9Atletico Mineiro197752828028
10BragantinoBragantino197572423126
11Vasco da GamaVasco2073102231-924
12CriciumaCriciuma196672829-124
13JuventudeJuventude195772125-422
14Gremio1963101722-521
15Vitoria2163122332-921
16InternacionalInternacional165651414021
17Fluminense2055101624-820
18Corinthians214891928-920
19Cuiaba1945101925-617
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2126131735-1812


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