MX23RW : Friday, July 26 21:18:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 26, 2024 at 12am UK
Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo)
Gremio

Corinthians
2 - 2
Gremio

Alberto (25' pen.), Garro (87')
Caca (40')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ely (2'), Villasanti (76')
Geromel (31'), Ely (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Vitoria
Sunday, July 21 at 3pm in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 2-1 Gremio

Despite defeating Vitoria last time out, Gremio must show more to prove a return to their finest form. Without an away win all season in seven attempts (one point from an available 21), that undesired streak should become eight against a side keen to go five matches on home turf without losing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawGremio
49.27% (0.378 0.38) 25.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 25.07% (-0.362 -0.36)
Both teams to score 49.94% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (-0.196 -0.2)53.22% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (-0.166 -0.17)74.78% (0.166 0.17)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38% (0.085000000000008 0.09)21.62% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (0.129 0.13)54.73% (-0.131 -0.13)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-0.42 -0.42)36.28% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-0.428 -0.43)73.06% (0.42699999999999 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 49.27%
    Gremio 25.07%
    Draw 25.65%
CorinthiansDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 25.07%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Gremio

Corinthians
80.5%
Draw
7.3%
Gremio
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 34
Gremio
0-1
Corinthians

Villasanti (45+1'), Suarez (90+7')
Alves (81')
Romero (32')
Caetano (15'), Menezes (18'), Maycon (42'), Romero (48'), Verissimo (74'), Fagner (90+5'), Ruan (90+9')
Mendez (10')
Sep 19, 2023 1am
Gameweek 15
Corinthians
4-4
Gremio
Santos (45' pen.), Verissimo (45+4'), Alberto (45+6'), Giuliano (67')
Santos (40')
Nathan (21'), Cristaldo (27'), Galdino (51'), Suarez (58')
Kannemann (54')
Dec 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Corinthians
1-1
Gremio
Augusto (86')
Guedes (45+1')
Souza (39')
Kannemann (11'), Rafinha (15'), Geromel (45+1')
Aug 29, 2021 1am
Gameweek 18
Gremio
0-1
Corinthians
Souza (82')
Ramos (89'), Victor (90+2')
Nov 22, 2020 11.30pm
Gameweek 22
Corinthians
0-0
Gremio
Cantillo (14'), Otero (42')
Marllon (30'), Otero (66')
Mendes (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo19124331161540
2FlamengoFlamengo18114332191337
3PalmeirasPalmeiras19113527141336
4FortalezaFortaleza189632318533
5Cruzeiro1810262520532
6Sao Paulo199552820832
7Bahia199462823531
8Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR177462017325
9BragantinoBragantino177462220225
10Atletico Mineiro176742525025
11Vasco da GamaVasco187292028-823
12JuventudeJuventude175661922-321
13InternacionalInternacional145451212019
14Corinthians194781725-819
15CriciumaCriciuma174672427-318
16Cuiaba174581822-417
17Gremio1743101422-815
18Vitoria1943122032-1215
19Fluminense1835101424-1014
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO1926111629-1312


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