MX23RW : Tuesday, July 2 08:00:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2024 at 12am UK
Allianz Parque
Corinthians

Palmeiras
2 - 0
Corinthians

Veiga (53'), de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (57')
Ferreira (34'), Fabinho (37'), Rafael (43'), Menino (70')
Veiga (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Raniele (33'), Garro (63'), Bidon (85'), Henrique (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 27 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 1-0 Corinthians

 Verdao were not themselves against Fortaleza, but they usually play well after a poor performance, and we believe they will do enough to earn a narrow victory against a Corinthians side struggling in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawCorinthians
66.72% (-0.684 -0.68) 20.47% (0.305 0.31) 12.81% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 44.23% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (-0.384 -0.38)49.64% (0.389 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (-0.344 -0.34)71.65% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)13.99% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.49% (-0.648 -0.65)41.51% (0.654 0.65)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.42% (0.396 0.4)48.58% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.35% (0.283 0.28)83.65% (-0.276 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 66.71%
    Corinthians 12.81%
    Draw 20.47%
PalmeirasDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 13.14% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.62% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.67% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 66.71%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.143 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.91% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 3.48% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.77% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 12.81%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Corinthians

Palmeiras
91.4%
Draw
5.7%
Corinthians
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Corinthians
0-0
Palmeiras
Verissimo (90+8')
Maycon (90+6')
Rafael (84'), Cerqueira (90+2'), Gomez (90+2')
Cerqueira (90+2')
Apr 29, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 3
Palmeiras
2-1
Corinthians
Cerqueira (16'), Veiga (36')
Piquerez (76' og.)
Aug 13, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 22
Corinthians
0-1
Palmeiras

Vera (2'), Guedes (18')
Roni (72' og.)
Manuel Lopez (40'), Piquerez (85')
Apr 23, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Palmeiras
3-0
Corinthians
Gomez (14'), Rony (19'), Dudu (71')
Gomez (50')

Maycon (27'), Piton (79')
Sep 25, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 22
Corinthians
2-1
Palmeiras
Guedes (20', 84')
Fagner (34')
Menino (45+2')
de Paula (32')
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